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“Digital payments are likely to enhance India’s growth by eliminating frictions, increasing efficiency, and reducing costs,” Eswar Prasad, an economics professor at Cornell University, told CNN. Covid-19 further boosted the adoption of digital transactions, as people tried to protect themselves from the virus. In 2023, the number of UPI transactions topped 100 billion. Azeez, a 34-year-old rickshaw driver in Old Delhi, told CNN that he’s too scared of losing money to use e-payments. Sania Farooqui/CNNConvenience aside, India’s digital public infrastructure has helped it achieve an 80% financial inclusion rate.
Persons: Brij Kishore, , Agarwal, tuk, India’s, Narendra Modi, Eswar Prasad, Old Delhi Sania Farooqui, Ramesh Kumar's, Sania Farooqui, Ramesh Kumar, he’s, Azeez, Prasad, Kapil Sharma, Organizations: Hong Kong / New Delhi CNN, , Unified, , frictions, Cornell University, CNN, “ UPI, India, National Payments Corporation of India, UPI, Sarojini, Finance, Eiffel Locations: Hong Kong / New Delhi, Chandni, India’s Old Delhi, Delhi, India, Old Delhi, Sarojini, Covid
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese government's lack of transparency may weaken investor confidence, professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of international trade policy at Cornell University, discusses China's annual parliamentary meetings, and says "it's very clear that this is a new ballgame. I think the sense that the government is going to be much more open and transparent in terms of responding to market concerns, trying to show how they're going to alleviate those concerns, is giving way to a 'just trust us' sort of approach."
Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University
China has curbed short selling and quant trading activities to support its flailing stock markets. AdvertisementBeijing is now trying to support the flailing Chinese stock markets by pulling a familiar move — cracking down on private sector activities. Remember — China's recent private sector enterprise crackdown wiped out over a trillion dollars from its tech sector alone and spooked entrepreneurs. China isn't the first to curb stock market activities — the US also cracked down on short-selling during the 2008 financial crisis. China's securities regulator said on Thursday it wasn't trying to interfere with trading activities, but will crackdown on "illegal activities" that disrupt market order.
Persons: , They're, George Boubouras, isn't, Eswar Prasad Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Asset Management, China isn't, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei Locations: China, Beijing, Hong, Melbourne
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCornell professor says China's biggest problem is a lack of confidence in its governmentEswar Prasad, professor of international trade policy at Cornell University, says the government is dealing only with the symptoms of its economic problems and "needs a much clearer policy agenda."
Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell, Cornell University
Chinese leader Xi Jinping said on New Year's Eve that the nation's economy had grown "more resilient and dynamic this year." Meanwhile, famed hedge fund manager and founder of Dallas-based Hayman Capital Kyle Bass said the country's heavily indebted property market has triggered a wave of defaults among public developers. That's a problem, given China's real estate market can account for as much as a fifth of the nation's GDP. "This is just like the U.S. financial crisis on steroids," Bass said, referring to China's default-ridden property market. The Institute of International Finance said Beijing has the policy capacity to push China's economy toward its growth potential and stuck to its above consensus forecast for 2024 growth at 5%, in a recent blog post.
Persons: Eswar Prasad, Mohamed El, Xi Jinping, there's, Paul Krugman, Krugman, Kristalina Georgieva, Hayman, Hayman Capital Kyle Bass, Bass, isn't Organizations: Future Publishing, CSI, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Allianz, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, New York Times, Monetary Fund, Economic, IMF, Dallas, Hayman Capital, of International Finance Locations: Jiangsu, China, Nikkei Asia, U.S, Europe, tatters, Davos, Beijing
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewChina's extended stock market rout was so bad that leader Xi Jinping was set to personally pay attention to it — and it looks like his solution was to fire the country's top markets regulatory late on Wednesday. After all, there were suggestions earlier that authorities are considering a stabilization fund to rescue the flailing stock market. Stock markets in China and Hong Kong have accelerated losses into 2024. The analysts at the Eurasia Group aren't the only ones who say China needs to double down on economic reforms to shore up its economy.
Persons: , Xi Jinping, Wu Qing, Xi, Eswar Prasad, China's Organizations: Service, China Securities Regulatory, Bloomberg, Business, Eurasia Group, Eurasia Group aren't, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, Index, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing
Consumer prices fell last month in China by the most since the global financial crisis in 2009, the latest sign that weak spending and a glut of output from factories and farms are forcing businesses to offer discounts. The decline in consumer prices was mostly confined to food and electric cars. But wholesale prices charged by factories and other producers also fell last month, and have been down from their levels a year earlier in every month since October 2022. A broad decline in the overall level of prices, a phenomenon known as deflation, could be very troublesome for the economy. Falling prices make it hard for households and companies to keep up on monthly payments for mortgages, corporate loans and other debts.
Persons: , Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University Locations: China
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewChina is taking steps to support its economy and stock markets, but there are limits to what can be achieved, said economist Eswar Prasad. Stock markets in China and Hong Kong have accelerated losses into 2024 after shedding trillions of dollars since 2021. "The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the US is declining," Prasad added to Nikkei. This is because Trump is likely to ratchet up trade protectionism, causing fragmentation in the trade and financial sectors, Prasad told Nikkei.
Persons: , Eswar Prasad, Prasad, China hasn't, Trump, Prasad doesn't, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, Business, Stock, Reuters Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia
It appears that a soft landing, where price rises are tamed and the economy manages to avoid recession, is possible. Before the Bell: Is it fair to say that the US is outpacing China in the race for economic supremacy? Just last year people might have said the opposite — that the US was heading towards recession and the Chinese economy was thriving. It is remarkable to see the US economy blazing ahead while the Chinese economy sputters and slips into deflation. What else should investors be aware of when they read about the Chinese economy?
Persons: Bell, Eswar Prasad, Jamie Dimon, he’s, Marianne Lake, Jennifer Piepszak, Piepszak, Troy Rohrbaugh, Rohrbaugh, Dimon, hasn’t, , Brian Fung, Oregon Democratic Sen, Ron Wyden, Biden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Cornell University, International Monetary, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Chase, Bloomberg, NSA, National Security Agency, Oregon Democratic, Pentagon, CNN Locations: New York, China, Oregon
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPreventing further escalation is a 'victory' for both the US and China: Cornell professorCornell University’s Eswar Prasad says the U.S. and China understand there are areas the two countries need to cooperate on, despite existing tensions between.
Persons: Cornell University’s Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell Locations: China, U.S
WASHINGTON (AP) — The United States and China are the two global economic heavyweights. The meeting will bring together 21 Pacific Rim countries, which collectively represent 40% of the world’s people and nearly half of global trade. Indeed, imports of Chinese goods to the United States were down 24% through September compared with the same period of 2022. Xi, too, has reason to try to restore economic cooperation with the United States. “This will not be an easy sell.’’Complicating matters is that the tensions between Washington and Beijing go well beyond economics.
Persons: Joe Biden, Xi, Eswar Prasad, , Prasad, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Chad Bown, Janet Yellen, Lifeng, , ” Yellen, ’ ’, Wendy Cutler, Raja Krishnamoorthi, ’ ’ Krishnamoorthi, Organizations: WASHINGTON, International Monetary Fund, , Cornell University, Economic Cooperation, Biden, World Trade Organization, U.S, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Prosperity, Trump, Group, Bain & Co, Micron, IMF, United, Asia Society Institute, Chinese Communist Party, Republicans, Pew Research Center, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Rep, Illinois Democrat Locations: United States, China, Washington, Beijing, U.S, Ukraine, Gaza, Asia, San Francisco, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, India, Philippines, South China, Taiwan, Chinese, Kenya, Nigeria, Illinois
Indian economy regains its swagger as China stumbles
  + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New Delhi CNN —India’s economy is like an elephant. India’s economy is currently worth nearly $3.5 trillion, making it the world’s fifth largest. “India’s economy is comfortably placed to grow at an annual rate of at least 6% in the coming few years,” Barclays said. But even as India’s heft is increasing, it is far from recreating the economic miracle China unleashed decades ago. It will, no doubt — though it won’t be enough to shield the world economy should China’s economy stumble badly,” they added.
Persons: Narendra Modi, , Eswar Prasad, Modi, Prasad, Ludovic Marin, Mukesh Ambani’s, Gautam Adani’s, Willy Shih, Frederic Neumann, Justin Feng Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Economic, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, China, Barclays, IMF, ” Barclays, Hindustan Times, Modi, bonanza, Unified, Bharat, Getty, Bank, Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries, Apple, Harvard Business School, HSBC Locations: New Delhi, India, Switzerland, Davos, , , China, ” New Delhi, Sewri, Mumbai Bhushan, AFP, Beijing, Washington
Now, as Israel’s war against Palestinian militant group Hamas threatens to spiral into a broader conflict that could shatter stability in the Middle East, China has called for a ceasefire while criticizing Israel’s actions. It also highlights China’s deep economic interests in both Russia and the Middle East, which it wants to safeguard at all cost. The world’s second largest economy depends on Russia and the Middle East for much of its energy needs. The Middle East is also a cornerstone in the Belt and Road Initiative. “Regional conflagration means long instability and long instability means no business for China in the Middle East,” he added.
Persons: , Eswar Prasad, refiners, Vladimir Putin, Xi, Sergei Guneyev, Russia’s, Putin, Russia —, Wang Yi, Jean, Loup Samaan, Joe Biden, QatarEnergy, Ahmed Aboudouh, Antony Blinken, Blinken, Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Moscow, Palestinian, Cornell University, Getty, Initiative, Shanghai’s Fudan University, United, China’s, Middle East Institute of, National University of Singapore, Wednesday, Jihad, Energy, China Petroleum & Chemical Co, Sinopec, Fudan University, Chatham House, US Department of State Locations: China, Hong Kong, Hong Kong CNN — Beijing, Ukraine, East, Palestine, Israel, United States, Russia, Beijing, Moscow, Saudi Arabia, Russian, AFP, Pakistan, Iran, Hamas, Tehran, Gaza, Qatar, China’s, Qatari, London, , Persian,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBig question is what will replace China's property sector as key growth driver, professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, says "external demand is not going to do it, because the rest of the world is not doing terribly well."
Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. commerce secretary's China visit produced 'one important deliverable,' professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, says there were no major breakthroughs, but the establishment of clear channels of "regular communication" at both the technical and senior policy levels was the "best that can be expected" from the U.S.-China relationship.
Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University, U.S . Locations: China, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with KraneShares' Brendan Ahern and Cornell's Eswar PrasadBrendan Ahern, KraneShares CIO, and Eswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss China's economy, the hope there will be a stimulus for China's economy, and what will bridge the gap between the government and entrepreneurs.
Persons: KraneShares, Brendan Ahern, Cornell's Eswar Prasad Brendan Ahern, Eswar Prasad Organizations: KraneShares, Cornell University
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese government's 'lip service' to private sector needs to change, says Cornell's PrasadBrendan Ahern, KraneShares CIO, and Eswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss China's economy, the hope there will be a stimulus for China's economy, and what will bridge the gap between the government and entrepreneurs.
Persons: Cornell's Prasad Brendan Ahern, Eswar Prasad Organizations: KraneShares, Cornell University
That sobering view of a post-pandemic global economy emerged from research organized by the Kansas City Federal Reserve and debated here this past weekend. "This puts us in a bleak setting, thinking about the parts of the world that are labor rich but capital poor," he said. "I do remember a time, maybe a more naive time...when more trade would create friends," said Ben Broadbent, deputy governor of the Bank of England. If there was a potential bright spot, it was around the discussion of advances in artificial intelligence as a possible driver of higher productivity. Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Dan Burns and Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: JACKSON, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Gourinchas, Maurice Obstfeld, Barry Eichengreen, Eswar Prasad, Donald Trump, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Bernstein, Ben Broadbent, Ngozi Okonjo, Iweala, Trump, Nela Richardson, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Kansas City Federal Reserve, U.S, Monetary Fund, Fed, Peterson Institute for International Economics, International Monetary Fund, University of California, Cornell University, U.S . White House Council, Economic, Biden, Bank of England, Trade Organization, Thomson Locations: , Wyoming, Ukraine, China, West, Washington . China, U.S, Berkeley, Japan, Nigeria, Russian, Europe
The numbers portray a stalling economy, but there is a far more profound concern. Chinese consumers and businesses are losing confidence that their government has the ability to recognize and fix the economy’s deep-seated problems. If President Xi Jinping’s government doesn’t tackle this fundamental issue, any other measures will have little impact in arresting the downward spiral. This confidence problem is apparent in the tepid private investment and weak household consumption over the past year. The worrying cognitive dissonance between the government and entrepreneurs became apparent during a recent trip I took to China.
Persons: Xi Organizations: Chinese Communist Party, Technology, Ant, Entrepreneurs Locations: China, United States, Beijing
Dong Wenjie | Moment | Getty ImagesChina criticized President Joe Biden's long-awaited executive order regulating fresh U.S. investment in technology — but stopped short of issuing immediate counter measures. "China expresses its grave concern and reserves the right to implement measures," the Chinese Commerce Ministry said in the statement, according to a CNBC translation. Biden's order comes amid an escalating race for global technology supremacy. watch now"This seriously deviates from the market economy and fair competition principles that the U.S. has always advocated," the Chinese Ministry of Commerce added. The wording on Biden's executive order appears similar to a toned-down version of the initial Outbound Investment Transparency Act the Senate recently introduced.
Persons: Dong Wenjie, Joe Biden's, Prasad, Janet Yellen Organizations: Images China, Chinese Commerce Ministry, Biden, CNBC, Chinese Ministry of Commerce, Cornell University, Treasury, Senate Locations: Shanghai, Asia, China, China , Hong Kong, Macao, U.S, Japan, Netherlands, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBiden's executive order may have a 'chilling' effect on U.S. tech investments in China: ProfessorEswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at Cornell University, discusses U.S. President Joe Biden's signing of an executive order aimed at regulating new U.S. investments and expertise that supports Chinese development of sensitive technologies.
Persons: Eswar Prasad, Joe Biden's Organizations: Cornell University Locations: China
Dentons, the largest Western law firm in China in terms of staff, said yesterday it would separate from Dacheng, its unit there. The two firms merged in 2015, and Dentons even added Chinese characters to its logo to signal its commitment to the country. That made it impossible to follow legal industry standards and best practice, a person familiar with Dentons’ decision-making told DealBook. “Standards are diverging between China and Western economies,” Eswar Prasad, a trade policy professor at Cornell and a former head of the I.M.F.’s China division, told DealBook. Employees at financial firms operating in China have reportedly been forced to attend lessons in the ideology of President Xi Jinping.
Persons: Dentons, DealBook, Eswar Prasad, , Xi Jinping Organizations: Cornell Locations: China, Western, , Sequoia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's economy is 'sputtering' after roaring back to life, professor saysEswar Prasad, professor of trade policy at at Cornell University, says the key question for the government is whether it can rebuild confidence in the private sector.
Persons: Eswar Prasad Organizations: Cornell University
A Nanjing Road pedestrian street on October 1, 2022 in Shanghai, China. Yan Daming | Visual China Group | Getty ImagesChina's authorities need to take decisive policy action to pull its "sputtering" economy back from the brink, according to Eswar Prasad, an economics professor at Cornell University. Last week, China hinted at moves to "adjust and optimize" policy measures in what the leadership acknowledged as a "torturous" economic recovery. watch now"It certainly looks like the Chinese economy is sputtering after roaring back to life," following the easing of Covid restrictions, said Prasad, a former head of the International Monetary Fund's China division. The unemployment rate among young people between the ages of 16 to 24 was 21.3% in June — a fresh record.
Persons: Yan Daming, Eswar Prasad, Prasad, CNBC's, Organizations: Visual China, Getty, Cornell University, Beijing, International Monetary, Reuters Locations: Nanjing, Shanghai, China
watch nowU.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's visit to China is "crucial" to ensuring that both countries continue talking to each other, said Eswar Prasad, an economics professor at Cornell University. "The crucial element, which is embodied in Janet Yellen's visit, is that the two sides keep talking on technical levels, but also at the very senior policy levels," Prasad told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Friday. Tensions between the two countries have shot up in recent years, since the U.S.-China trade war started in 2018 during the Trump-era. Her visit comes weeks after Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to Beijing — the first high-level meeting between the two countries after months of tensions. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen arrives at Beijing Capital International Airport in Beijing on July 6, 2023.
Persons: Janet Yellen's, Eswar Prasad, Prasad, CNBC's, Yellen, Premier Li Qiang, Liu He, Yi Gang, Antony Blinken's, Janet Yellen, Mark Schiefelbein, Biden, Andy Rothman, Matthews, Rothman Organizations: Treasury, Cornell University, U.S ., Trump, Premier, Treasury Department, Beijing Capital International Airport, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Matthews Asia Locations: China, U.S, Beijing, Washington
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